Responsible Forecasting in Climatology and Environmental Sciences

Following the PICO session in the General Assembly of the European Geophysical Union 2024, we present a number of papers that attempt responsible verified forecasts. We aim at discussing the concept of real-time forecasting from physical, statistical, and application points of view, with follow-up reporting of the results in a catalog of successful and unsuccessful predictions. It is focused on approaches based on, or inspired by, concepts from complex systems sciences like scaling, universality, complex network analysis, and physics-informed machine learning. The publication will include forecasts of different phenomena and forecasting horizons, slow or fast onset, and varied intensity and impact.

Topics covered include, but are not limited to:

Guest Editors

S. Blesic, University of Belgrade, Serbia

V. Livina, National Physical Laboratory, UK

J. Ludescher, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany